BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Davenport Assumption

Class: 2A Class Rank: 25 Conference: (9-7) Overall: (11-12) Overall Strength =   86.66

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/03/2005 Home    L    94.71  48   55   4A    8 (19- 4) WDM Dowling             8.04    -15.04                      
  2 12/06/2005 Away    L    91.27  47   58   3A    5 (13-10) Dubuque Wahlert         4.61    -15.61                      
  3 12/09/2005 Home    W *  86.40  59   48   4A   45 ( 4-18) Davenport West         -0.27     11.27                      
  4 12/10/2005 Home    L    83.03  49   62   EX   26 ( 2- 0) Orion IL               -3.63     -9.37                      
  5 12/13/2005 Away    W * 106.73  63   52   4A   26 (13- 9) Davenport Central      20.07     -9.07                      
  6 12/16/2005 Away    W *  82.27  40   38   4A   43 ( 4-18) Burlington             -4.40      6.40                      
  7 12/17/2005 Neutral L    86.66  50   65   EX   16 ( 1- 0) East Moline United T   -0.00    -15.00                      
  8 12/20/2005 Away    W *  91.06  60   54   4A   39 ( 7-15) Davenport North         4.39      1.61                      
  9 01/03/2006 Home    L *  70.18  32   62   4A   11 (19- 4) Bettendorf            -16.48    -13.52                      
 10 01/06/2006 Home    W *  79.43  51   49   4A   44 ( 6-16) Clinton                -7.23      9.23                      
 11 01/07/2006 Away    W   103.52  51   48   4A   14 (10-13) Iowa City High         16.86    -13.86                      
 12 01/13/2006 Away    W *  95.69  58   53   4A   32 ( 7-15) Muscatine               9.03     -4.03                      
 13 01/20/2006 Home    L *  73.26  39   77   4A    1 (24- 2) Pleasant Valley       -13.40    -24.60                      
 14 01/24/2006 Away    L *  87.12  57   65   4A   28 (13-10) Eldridge North Scott    0.45     -8.45                      
 15 01/27/2006 Away    W *  87.20  68   60   4A   45 ( 4-18) Davenport West          0.54      7.46                      
 16 02/03/2006 Home    L *  79.93  52   64   4A   26 (13- 9) Davenport Central      -6.73     -5.27                      
 17 02/07/2006 Home    W *  81.47  61   56   4A   43 ( 4-18) Burlington             -5.20     10.20                      
 18 02/10/2006 Home    W *  91.25  58   48   4A   39 ( 7-15) Davenport North         4.59      5.41                      
 19 02/14/2006 Away    L *  92.98  48   59   4A   11 (19- 4) Bettendorf              6.32    -17.32                      
 20 02/17/2006 Away    L *  78.23  47   50   4A   44 ( 6-16) Clinton                -8.43      5.43                      
 21 02/18/2006 Home    L *  77.89  49   58   4A   32 ( 7-15) Muscatine              -8.78     -0.22                      
 22 02/20/2006 Neutral W    87.84  65   40   2A  111 ( 3-18) Camanche                1.18     23.82                      
 23 02/22/2006 Away    L    85.14  71   73   2A   29 (19- 5) Durant-Bennett         -1.52     -0.48                      
      Averages              86.66  53.2 56.3

Best game:  106.73 = 11 point win over Davenport Central
Worst game:  70.18 = 30 point loss to Bettendorf
Team stdev:   8.78